How Can Future Leaders be Better Prepared for a Future of Worsening Environmental Crisis (https://www.ippr.org/files/2022-01/cohort-2040-jan-22.pdf )
This report from the Institute for Public Policy research(IPPR) is yet another wake up call for all of those who are asking where the leadership will come from to tackle a worsening environmental and social crisis created by humanities unsustainable lifestyles?
According to this timely report many scientists, experts and communities on the front line are warning of this worsening outlook. But these warnings are often treated as projections of a future that can be definitively avoided; and as interventions tactically deployed to spur action in the present. This is particularly the case when they are expressed in intergenerational terms: “Act now to save our children’s future.” But what if these warnings increasingly indicate the future conditions under which the struggle to overcome the environmental crisis will be fought?
Less attention has been paid to another intergenerational perspective: What burden is being placed on the shoulders of future decision-makers by a far more environmentally destabilised world – and how can they be better prepared? The average age of world leaders is 62, dropping to the early 50s across Europe (Asrar 2021); many parliaments have an average age in the high 50s (Watson 2020, CRS 2021). Emerging millennial-age leaders in their early 30s – the median age of the global population is 31 years (CIA 2021) – will reach the age range of contemporary leaders in the 2040s and 2050s. If the inadequate action of today continues, theirs could be a tomorrow of 2C of heating, severe and persistent environmental shocks, and the knock-on destabilisation of societies across the world.
Many of the defining features of this report’s systemic approach to issue of future leadership recognises the huge challenges future cohorts of students will face in a potentially destabilising world. Without building the capacity of future leaders and change agents to enhance their understand the necessity of fundamental change to societies and economic systems to create and unlock a global response that avoids non-linear environmental change and enables an ongoing process of restoring and restabilising the natural world -then growing destabilisation of societies will dominate their future. Focus must be maintained on making a better future as the present gets worse. Hence those cadres of university graduates who aspire to become transformative leaders must be capable of embracing complexity and developing a sophisticated, systems analysis of the causes, evolution, and consequences of growing destabilisation in and between human and environmental systems to navigate the coming decades. Mechanisms are needed to identify, monitor, and better understand complex and rapid change across systems and to collaboratively respond to threats and opportunities.
Expanding global solidarity (relational). Greater connection with communities on the front line of destabilisation is needed around the world, ensuring their experience is foregrounded as part of an explicit strategy of creating a greater shared group understanding of the impacts of destabilisation, minimising perceptions of people as being part of an ‘outside’ group. In turn, considerations of equity are paramount, as is maximising the resources and agency of those who are most vulnerable. The chances of an effective global response are limited under conditions of high inequality and, as a result, low cooperation.
Caring collectively (emotional). The emotional and psychological implications of the worsening outlook are significant, unequal and will have a range of impacts on collective responses. These include elements in social psychology, such as heightening fear or empathy and their consequences for marshalling and maintaining an effective collective response under growing stress, as well as the emotional toll for individuals. Globally, it is essential that leaders can better support communities and entire populations in making sense of what is going on, how it came to this, and what must be done to navigate out, telling stories of focus and hope.